On A Personal Note

"I truly believe CBD maybe one of the most significant advances in medical science in a generation and will effect all of our lives either directly and/or indirectly in the years to come.  You really do owe it to yourself to study up on it."


Medical Benefits of CBD

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Bond Market

Bond Market

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  • 6 month Treasury
  • 2 Year Treasury
  • 10 Year Treasury
  • 30 Year Treasury
  • Municipal Bond Index
  • High Yield - Junk Bond Index
6 Month Treasury
2 Year Treasury
10 Year Treasury
30 Year Treasury
High Yield - CCC or Below
High Yield - Junk Bond Index

 

 

Arguments for Inflation

 

In simple terms you have to much money (demand) chasing to view goods and services (supply).

Concerns:

  • The Fed is printing a ton of money

 

M1 Money Supply to Real GDP
Federal Government Debt to Real GDP

 

Link: U.S. Debt Clock

 

Arguments for Deflation

 

In simple terms you need cash & credit to create the demand necessary to push prices higher, in an age of deleveraging you have less credit to create that demand so competition puts downward pressure on prices.

Concerns:

  • Consumer Credit Outstanding
  • Interest payments on the national debt reduces potential for Federal spending
  • Velocity of Money Supply (money is not changing hands fast enough)
  • Debt Held by Foreign Investors
Consumer Credit Outstanding to Real GDP
Interest on National Debt
Velocity of Money Supply
Total U.S. Debt Held by Foreign Investors
Debt Held by Foreign Investors as % of GDP

 

 


 

Global bond yields have only been this low in 2 other times in the last 500 years.
 

 

By far the biggest player in the game is the Federal Government.  On that score it's important to note:

2016

Source: www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget  (see The Budget / Summary Tables, Page 100)